Garrett Nussmeier, the LSU Tigers’ quarterback, is at a crossroads in his career. Recent performances, including lackluster showings against Alabama, Texas A&M, and Florida, have raised questions about his trajectory. The latest speculation—fueled by an article from The Sporting News—hints at the possibility of Nussmeier entering the transfer portal if his draft stock continues to decline. While the article leans more toward conjecture than confirmation, it opens a valid discussion about Nussmeier’s future in both college football and the NFL.
A Decline in Draft Stock
Nussmeier’s recent outings have not been convincing. Against Alabama, one of the toughest stages in college football, his struggles were glaring. This pattern continued in subsequent games against A&M and Florida, where his performances lacked the poise and precision expected of an NFL-ready quarterback. These games are pivotal for quarterbacks like Nussmeier, who don’t have the same leeway as more established, elite prospects. Unlike transcendent talents such as Joe Burrow or Jayden Daniels, whose performances transcend systems and game plans, Nussmeier must consistently deliver to maintain his status as a potential first-round pick.
The switch from former offensive coordinator Mike Denbrock to Joe Sloan has also drawn scrutiny. While some blame the offensive scheme for Nussmeier’s struggles, others point to the high expectations placed on him as the successor to a line of LSU quarterbacks who have set a high bar. This combination of factors—poor performances and an uncertain offensive identity—has undoubtedly affected his draft prospects. While ESPN’s Mel Kiper Jr. and other analysts still rank him as a top quarterback prospect, these rankings could be tenuous without a strong finish to the season.
The Transfer Portal: A Viable Path?
The article from The Sporting News, which draws on insights from AtoZSports.com contributor Ryan Roberts, suggests that Nussmeier might explore the transfer portal to reset his trajectory. This move would allow him to refine his craft in a new environment, with the potential to elevate his draft stock for the 2026 NFL Draft. However, staying at LSU presents complications, particularly with the looming presence of Bryce Underwood, a highly touted five-star quarterback recruit.
Underwood, despite interest from other programs such as Michigan (reportedly offering a $10 million NIL deal over four years), remains committed to LSU. However, Nussmeier’s decision to stay could disrupt this commitment, forcing Underwood to reconsider his options. While some view Nussmeier as a potential bridge quarterback to Underwood, this scenario could place undue pressure on him. Fans and even some within the coaching staff might call for Underwood to start if Nussmeier falters—a situation that could further erode his confidence.
Challenges of the NFL Transition
If Nussmeier declares for the NFL Draft, the challenges are immense. The current NFL landscape often throws rookie quarterbacks into less-than-ideal situations, including weak offensive lines and limited receiving options. Without the right coaching and developmental support, Nussmeier’s confidence and potential could take a hit. His strong arm is a valuable asset but has also been a source of trouble in college, leading to risky throws and turnovers. These issues, if not addressed, could be magnified at the next level.
Given these factors, returning to college football—whether at LSU or another program—might be the best option for Nussmeier. Another year of development, particularly in a system tailored to his strengths, could help him refine his decision-making and improve his consistency. The transfer portal offers an opportunity to find such a system, with several programs likely willing to invest significant NIL resources to secure his talents.
What’s Next for Nussmeier?
This week’s matchup against Vanderbilt provides a chance for Nussmeier to quiet critics and regain some momentum. A strong performance could shift the narrative, but the long-term questions remain. Does he stay at LSU, potentially as a bridge quarterback with immense pressure? Does he explore the transfer portal to find a fresh start? Or does he declare for the draft and take his chances in an unforgiving NFL environment?
For now, Nussmeier’s future is uncertain. What is clear is that the next few weeks will be critical in shaping his career. Whether he stays, transfers, or declares for the draft, the decisions he makes will not only affect his trajectory but also the future of LSU football, particularly with Underwood waiting in the wings. The spotlight is firmly on Nussmeier, and how he responds will determine whether he can fulfill the promise that once made him one of college football’s most intriguing quarterback prospects.
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