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Alabama’s Ty Simpson Listed as New Favorite to Go 1st Overall in 2026 Draft

Photo courtesy of Fox Sports.

In an era where patience is rare in college football, Ty Simpson’s journey feels like a throwback to a different time. At a point when most top quarterbacks bolt for greener pastures the moment they lose a starting battle, Simpson did the unthinkable — he stayed. Three years of waiting, developing, and trusting Alabama’s process have finally paid off. Now, that same patience might make him the first overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft.

What was once viewed as a story of stagnation has transformed into one of perseverance and payoff.

A Rare Commitment in the Transfer Era

Simpson’s story is remarkable not only because of his rise, but also because of how he achieved it. In today’s college landscape — defined by the transfer portal, NIL deals, and instant gratification — few quarterbacks wait around for their turn. Players like Caleb Williams, Bo Nix, and Michael Penix Jr. all found stardom after transferring to new programs. But Simpson chose a harder path.

He arrived at Alabama as a five-star recruit from Tennessee, expecting to compete with the best. When he didn’t win the starting job right away, he didn’t leave. He studied the game behind Bryce Young and later Jalen Milroe. He learned from offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb’s system and stayed the course under new head coach Kalen DeBoer.

Now, as Alabama’s starting quarterback, he’s proving that patience — and development — still matter.

Dominating in His First Year as a Starter

Through the first half of the 2025 season, Simpson has been lights out. Completing 65.7 percent of his passes with 20 touchdowns and only one interception, he’s showing the kind of command that NFL scouts dream about. His reads are sharp, his poise under pressure has improved, and his arm strength continues to be elite.

At DraftKings, Simpson currently holds +220 odds to be the No. 1 overall pick in the 2026 NFL Draft. That puts him ahead of Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza (+290), South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers (+600), and Oregon’s Dante Moore (+750).

What’s even more telling is how far he’s come from obscurity. At this time last year, Simpson wasn’t even a blip on the NFL radar. Now, he’s leading an Alabama team that has rebounded from a slow start to look like a legitimate College Football Playoff contender once again.

A Reflection of Alabama’s New Era

For Alabama, Simpson’s breakout season symbolizes more than just great quarterback play — it’s validation. It’s proof that Kalen DeBoer’s system, paired with Ryan Grubb’s creative offense, is the real deal in Tuscaloosa.

DeBoer inherited the impossible task of following Nick Saban, but he has quietly rebuilt the Tide around discipline and balance. Simpson’s precision passing and leadership have brought consistency to a program that struggled to find its identity last season.

Under Grubb, Alabama’s offense no longer relies on deep bombs and five-star speed alone. It’s calculated, efficient, and multiple. Simpson has become the perfect extension of that philosophy — methodical but explosive when needed.

Simpson’s rise isn’t just a feel-good story — it’s becoming the blueprint for how college players can still thrive by trusting the process. Instead of chasing instant stardom, Simpson built himself into a pro-ready quarterback.

His timing couldn’t be better, either. NFL teams looking for mature, mentally tough signal-callers will see his three-year grind as a major asset. Scouts value his improved decision-making and ball placement under pressure, both traits that separate average college passers from future pros.

Even Alabama insiders say Simpson’s demeanor hasn’t changed — quiet confidence, leadership by example, and a relentless drive to get better.

Who’s Chasing Him in the 2026 Draft Race

While Simpson currently holds the top spot in early mock drafts, the race for No. 1 overall is far from over. Indiana’s Fernando Mendoza has turned heads with his accuracy and field vision. South Carolina’s LaNorris Sellers, a dual-threat phenom, is climbing fast after a breakout year in the SEC.

Meanwhile, Oregon’s Dante Moore and Miami’s Rueben Bain — the top defensive name in the mix — are still very much in play. LSU’s Garrett Nussmeier and Texas’s Arch Manning remain long shots, but both could rise depending on how they finish the 2025 season.

Still, right now, it’s Simpson’s world. He’s the polished product of years of refinement — a player who outlasted the portal, mastered the system, and earned the spotlight the hard way.

 Ty Simpson’s emergence is one of college football’s best stories of the 2025 season. It’s not just about talent — it’s about resilience. About waiting for your turn when everyone else is looking for shortcuts. About trusting your program, your coaches, and yourself.

If he continues on this path, Alabama might not just have another playoff run in its sights — it might have the next No. 1 overall pick in the NFL Draft.

In an era obsessed with instant results, Ty Simpson is living proof that sometimes, the long game still wins.

 

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