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AAC Dominance or Bust: Why Memphis Must Excel in Conference Play

Photo courtesy of Wesley Hale-Imagn Images.

The Memphis Tigers, currently ranked No. 21 in the AP poll, are heading into American Athletic Conference (AAC) play with high expectations and much to prove. After a stellar non-conference slate that included multiple Quad 1 and Quad 2 victories, Memphis stands at 10-3 and has shown flashes of dominance. However, the Tigers must now avoid the pitfalls of last season, where early success gave way to late-season disappointments. If Memphis is to cement its position as the AAC’s flagship program and secure a favorable NCAA tournament seed, dominating conference opponents is not just a goal; it’s a necessity.

Lessons from Last Season

Last season, Memphis entered AAC play on fire. Boasting a 15-2 conference record at one point, the Tigers seemed destined for a top seed in the NCAA tournament. However, a shocking loss to South Florida—after leading by 20 points—triggered a downward spiral. Costly losses followed, and Memphis ultimately finished the season 22-10, missing the NCAA tournament despite their promising start.

The lesson is clear: consistency is key. For Memphis, AAC dominance is more than winning games; it’s about maintaining focus and finishing strong.

Current AAC Landscape

The AAC is competitive this season, with several programs capable of testing Memphis. While the Tigers remain the conference’s flagship program, the standings show a field full of challengers:

Standings Overview

  • Memphis Tigers (10-3): Ranked No. 21 in the AP poll, Memphis is the early favorite to lead the conference.
  • Wichita State Shockers (10-3): Strong at home with a 7-1 record, the Shockers could be a major threat.
  • North Texas Mean Green (10-3): Riding a four-game win streak, they bring solid defensive intensity.
  • Rice Owls (10-4): A scrappy team with momentum but less tested against top competition.
  • Florida Atlantic Owls (7-6): A shell of the juggernaut they were last season but still dangerous on any night.

While Memphis boasts the most robust non-conference resume, the AAC standings reflect a league where no game can be taken lightly. Teams like North Texas, Wichita State, and FAU have the capability to derail Memphis’ plans if the Tigers falter.

The Importance of Dominance in Conference Play

Strength of Schedule

The AAC does not offer the same resume-building opportunities as the SEC or ACC, making it critical for Memphis to dominate. Every loss in AAC play jeopardizes Memphis’ ranking and weakens their NCAA tournament seeding.

Setting the Standard

As the AAC’s premier program, Memphis represents the conference on a national stage. Dominating AAC play sends voters and the NCAA selection committee a clear message that Memphis is a legitimate contender, not just a good team in a weaker league.

Avoiding Last Season’s Pitfalls

Memphis’ Achilles’ heel last season was their inability to finish strong. This year, the Tigers must guard against complacency. Focus and execution are paramount to avoiding losses like last year’s collapse against South Florida.

What’s at Stake for Memphis

NCAA Tournament Seeding

Bracketology experts already have Memphis projected as a fourth or fifth seed in the NCAA tournament, a testament to their strong non-conference resume. However, AAC play offers limited chances to bolster their resume. Losses to lesser opponents could drop Memphis to a lower seed, making their path in March significantly harder.

Maintaining National Relevance

Memphis has built national respect with wins over teams like Ole Miss, Clemson, and Virginia. A strong showing in AAC play ensures the Tigers remain ranked and in the national conversation.

Building Momentum

AAC play offers Memphis the chance to build momentum heading into March. Stringing together dominant performances against conference opponents will give the Tigers confidence and cohesion as they approach the postseason.

Challenges Ahead

Depth and Stamina

Head coach Penny Hardaway has cited fatigue as a factor in the team’s struggles during losses to Auburn, Arkansas State, and Mississippi State. As AAC play begins, Memphis must manage minutes carefully and ensure that key players remain fresh for the stretch run.

Defensive Consistency

Memphis struggled to defend the three-point line and control the boards in their three losses this season. Teams like Wichita State and North Texas will exploit these weaknesses if the Tigers don’t shore up their defensive effort.

Maintaining Focus

Every AAC opponent will treat games against Memphis as their “Super Bowl.” Regardless of the opponent’s record, the Tigers must bring intensity to every matchup.

For Memphis, AAC dominance is about padding the win column and building a case for March. The Tigers must use conference play to solidify their identity, maintain their national ranking, and prove they can handle the pressure of being the AAC’s top team.

Memphis’s season will ultimately be judged by how far they go in the NCAA tournament, but the foundation for March’s success is built now. If the Tigers can avoid the pitfalls of last season and play to their potential, they have the talent and resume to make a deep run. The journey begins Thursday against Florida Atlantic, and for Memphis, it’s AAC dominance—or bust.

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